Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Wells Fargo Showing Damage from Scandals
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Wells might be leaking core deposits as compared to peers and paying up for interest earning deposits.

Jul 16, 2019

J.P. Morgan’s Net Interest Margins to Come Under Pressure
Image Source: Trending Topics 2019. It remains very clear that the Consumer & Community Banking segment is the crown jewel of JPMorgan's business with an ROE of 31% in the quarter with the Asset & Wealth Management not far behind at 27% ROE in the quarter.

Jul 15, 2019

Citigroup Still Has A Lot to Prove
Image Source: Citigroup Quarterly Presentation. Citigroup still has a lot to prove to the markets judging by the skepticism baked into the stock price, which might be well warranted if it turns out we are late in this economic cycle.

Jul 1, 2019

New Highs! The December Call Has Been Well-Rewarded
"The less the prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must conduct our own." - Warren Buffett (2018)

Jun 16, 2019

Valuentum's June Best Ideas Newsletter
Image: Page 49, June edition of American Library Association Booklist."I hope that my book Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation marks a turning point in the financial research industry. To you and me, 1) looking forward, 2) understanding that stock values are based on future expectations, and 3) calculating intrinsic value is simply par for the course. If other investors are not doing this, it should be no surprise that they are failing miserably. 90% underperformance! I hope my book serves as a wake up call for readers to demand forward-looking analysis and research that calculates a best fair value estimate." -- Brian Nelson, CFA

Jun 4, 2019

Excerpt: Big Six Banks as a Yield Play?
An article excerpt from our monthly High Yield Dividend Newsletter. Order the High Yield Dividend Newsletter here.

Apr 23, 2019

Morgan Stanley’s Lumpy Performance Calls Into Question Durability of Earnings Stream
Image Source: reynermedia. If Morgan Stanley’s activities can collapse that quickly, as they did during the fourth-quarter of 2018 when the market swooned, it really calls into question the durability of the earnings stream for all of the global players.

Apr 20, 2019

Taking a Fresh Look at Goldman Sachs
Image Source: Goldman Sachs 1Q19 Earnings Slides. After taking a fresh look at our valuation assumptions in the context that Goldman hasn’t really proven that it can earn above the cost of capital through the economic cycle, we have lowered our fair value estimate to $200 per share.

Apr 18, 2019

Raising Our Fair Value Estimate for Bank of America
Image shown: Valuentum's fair value estimates for its banks and money center coverage. We've raised our fair value estimate of Bank of America.The only thing not to like with Bank of America is that banks are cyclical and the economy is overdue for a downturn. Everything else is going right at Bank of America. We have raised our fair value estimate for Bank of America to $35 per share.

Apr 1, 2019

Big Bank Roundup, Bank of America Catches Our Eye
In this article, let’s catch up with how far the big 6 banks in the US have come since the height of the financial crisis exactly a decade hence. We will highlight the improvements in the banking system, some of the key risks, and a few high level thoughts about the individual franchises leading the US banking system. We like Bank of America the most, and we include diversified banking exposure in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.

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Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor