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Valuentum Commentary
Nov 13, 2019
Chesapeake Energy’s Pain Indicates Nothing “Safe” About Energy MLP Distributions
Image Source: Valuentum slide deck, December 2015. Valuentum released its bearish case on MLPs in June 2015. Summary There is nothing "safe" in the stock market, and given the track record of the distributions of pipeline MLPs, there is nothing "safe" about pipeline MLP distributions. The MLP business model continues to be phased out, a trend that we anticipated when we made our bearish call on the group in June 2015. Chesapeake Energy's pain is a yet another reminder of the pipeline MLP group's exposure to energy resource pricing through the health (or rather ill-health) of its customer base. We continue to encourage pipeline operators to disclose free cash flow (cash flow from operations less all gross capital spending) prominently in press releases, alongside other industry-specific metrics. Investors of Chesapeake could get completely wiped out in a Chesapeake bankruptcy, and this could have implications across the pipeline MLP arena. Aug 7, 2019
Tallgrass Energy’s Growth Runway Shorter Than Expected
Image Source: Tallgrass Energy LP -- IR Presentation. We parted with Tallgrass as we see greater opportunities in other midstream firms and different parts of the high-yield universe, such as Enterprise Products Partners, which have stronger growth runways and assets that better cater to the ever-evolving needs of North America’s oil & gas industry. Recent weakness in TGE indicates the market is losing faith in Tallgrass’ growth trajectory and its future free cash flows. Jul 18, 2019
Kinder Morgan Modestly Disappoints But Its Problems Are Transitory
Image Shown: Kinder Morgan Inc expects a lot of organic growth opportunities will be generated via surging domestic demand for natural gas and rising natural gas export capacity in the US. Image Source: Kinder Morgan Inc – IR Presentation. We remain optimistic on Kinder Morgan’s dividend growth opportunities, and our fair value estimate still stands at $23 per share. Apr 12, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending April 12
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Feb 17, 2019
S&P Global: "Enterprise's shift on cash flow reflects 'metamorphosis' of US pipeline firms"
S&P Global: "While several major U.S. energy pipeline companies spent 2018 shedding cash-leaking habits and forging a more conventional financial structure as stocks languished, adopting reporting practices that are more accessible to the investing public could be a gradual process for the industry, if it takes flight at all." Feb 11, 2019
MLPs Starting to Adopt Free Cash Flow?
Image shown: Since mid-June 2015, the price of an ETF tracking the midstream MLP energy space (AMLP) has fallen more than 40% while the S&P 500 (SPY) has rallied more than 30%. No changes to simulated newsletter portfolios. Jan 20, 2019
Kinder Morgan Reiterates Dividend Growth Intention
Image shown: Kinder Morgan’s pipeline network and estimated breakdown of 2018 EBDA. Source: Kinder Morgan investor presentation. Pipeline operator Kinder Morgan has benefited from a significant increase in natural gas supply and demand of late, and it expects more of the same in 2019. Management continues to execute on its capital allocation priorities, and it reiterated previously-announced guidance for dividend growth in the years ahead. Dec 31, 2018
Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29. Dec 20, 2018
Market Mayhem -- Alerts for Members
Dear members -- we released a number of emails today. Please read and let us know if you have any questions. We're here for you. Oct 25, 2018
Midstream Energy Pounded, MLP Distribution Cut at Golar LNG Partners
Image shown: The midstream MLP space continues to suffer. Performance of the group since mid-June 2015. Though it caught no one off guard, Golar LNG Partners’ recent distribution reduction is yet another in a long line of unsustainably high payouts in the master limited partnership space to be cut. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
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no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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