Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Honeywell’s Aerospace Division Its Crown Jewel
Image Source: 3Q 2019 Earnings Release. We’re huge fans of Honeywell. The company’s Aero operations are its crown jewel, and while Boeing is facing some troubles these days, we don’t expect much impact on Honeywell at all. In fact, we expect commercial aerospace to remain strong, even in the face of broader industrial weakness. The risks to the company’s HBT business could be starting to mount given some concerns in commercial real estate, but management isn’t really seeing any signs of yet, pointing to only moderating growth in 2020. The SPS division, while a headwind, probably won’t be a factor next year, but it could bounce back as inventories are cleared from the channel.

Aug 21, 2019

Home Depot, Lowe’s Largely Unfazed By Lumber Price Deflation
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The home improvement retailing market appears very, very healthy, and while consumers could have already taken advantage of ultra-low rates to do home repairs, additional Fed cuts certainly won’t hurt the backdrop for home improvement retailers. Home Depot and Lowe’s continue to put up solid results.

Jun 13, 2019

RYAM: Terrible Business, Potentially Cheap Stock
Image Source: First-Quarter 2019 Presentation Materials. Rayonier Advanced Materials has seen better days, but has the market overreacted? We don’t think there are many businesses that have poorer industry structure, but if the company can get things back on track, normalized free cash flow indicates substantial upside potential. Commodity prices and tariffs remain big wild cards to this story, and the Valuentum investor always waits for technicals and momentum indicators to turn decidedly positive first.

May 15, 2019

Caution Is In Order For Investors of Armstrong Flooring
Image Shown: Armstrong Flooring’s gross and operating margins deteriorated last year, in part due to inflationary pressures according to management. Image Source: Armstrong Flooring’s 2018 10-K.Armstrong Flooring could surprise to the upside in the back half of 2019, but we think caution is in order.

Feb 7, 2019

Industrials Sector Ideas -- Examining the Fair Value Distribution
Image shown: Parker Hannifin's fair value distribution. The Red X marks the company's share price. The image corresponding to each company in our coverage universe can be found on page 6 of their respective stock reports. Let’s have a look at some recent reports from a few of our favorite businesses in the industrials sector: Danaher, Dover, Eaton, Emerson, Illinois Tool Works, Ingersoll-Rand, Lennox, Parker-Hannifin, and Roper.

Jan 4, 2019

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending January 4
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.

Dec 31, 2018

Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29.

Dec 20, 2018

Market Mayhem -- Alerts for Members
Dear members -- we released a number of emails today. Please read and let us know if you have any questions. We're here for you.

Sep 5, 2018

There Is Milk At The Store
"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." -- Winston Churchill

Aug 6, 2018

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution
The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones.

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Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor