Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Jan 8, 2018

Mutual Fund Tragedy, ROE, and the Time Horizon
Comparisons between growth versus value stocks may never go away, but President of Investment Research Brian Nelson explains why you should know better than to think stocks can easily be divided up as such. He talks about this, as well as the pitfalls of ROE (return on equity) and how to think about the time horizon. Running time: ~10 minutes.

Dec 19, 2017

Video: Quants! You're NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson's Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.

Dec 1, 2017

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 1
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Nov 26, 2017

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already.

Nov 19, 2017

Nelson on Bogle, Part I
Image shown: An example illustrating how the dividend is a component of capital appreciation that otherwise would have been achieved had the dividend not been paid. Such a situation applies to both regular and special dividends. "The kind of commentary that makes broad generalizations about expectations of future returns is exactly why people are so eager to get into passive investment strategies. Since the 1920s, it seems as though the individual investor has assumed the stock market was rigged or impossible for average Joes to figure out, but instead of the "I'll get it next time" mentality that was present leading to the crash of '29, individual investors have "evolved" to the point that now the idea is if you can't beat the market, just buy the whole thing. Leaders like Bogle continue to take tremendous shortcuts in explaining forecasts, leaving the average investor like a student trying to copy math homework off a peer that didn't show his/her work. When the test comes around, and the problem is a bit different, the copier is up a creek." -- The Valuentum Team

Nov 11, 2017

4 Burning Questions About Gilead Sciences
Image Source: Gilead. We were pleased with the jump in shares of Gilead Sciences following its recent addition to the newsletter portfolios. The equity has given back some of those gains more recently as questions have resurfaced on the vitality of the enterprise. In this article, we work through the top 4 questions for readers to consider in evaluating Gilead Sciences.

Oct 12, 2017

An Overview on Valuing Junior Biotech Companies -- Does Clovis Fit the Bill?
The biotech industry remains one of the most fascinating yet perplexing industries for investors. Anecdotes of the entry-stage biotech with a home-run new therapy are often romanticized, but the reality is the vast majority of molecules fail in various stages of clinical testing.  Due to the boom-bust nature of the industry, many are wary of investing in the space, and traditional valuation metrics are not as useful due to a large number of such speculative entities being in the pre-revenue stage. With this in mind, let’s take a glimpse into our thought process when evaluating upstart biotech companies.

Oct 5, 2017

The Legal Battle Between Regeneron and Amgen Heats Up
Image Source: Regeneron. The legal battle between two of the titans of the biotech world heated up further with a recent ruling overturning the injunction of a critical asset. We are updating our thesis in light of current events.

Sep 14, 2017

Upadacitinib Posts Impressive Data for AbbVie
Image Source: AbbVie. In the pharmaceutical realm, the productivity of the clinical pipeline is essential to replace the loss of revenue due to an expiration of the patent life of a product. AbbVie is facing the monumental task of having to diversify away from the top-selling pharmaceutical product in the world with little in the way of assurances the transition will be a success. We are pleased with the recent data release on Upadacitinib as we view the molecule as AbbVie’s top R&D product.

Aug 14, 2017

Post-Earnings Update: AbbVie
Image Source: Global Panorama. AbbVie’s top-line performance has been relatively strong (unlike its big pharma peers), translating into a generous dividend--further enhancing the appeal of the equity. But are the company’s attractive fundamentals about to change? Let’s take a look at AbbVie’s fundamentals following its second-quarter report, released July 28.