Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Aug 19, 2021

Cisco Systems Continues to Recover; Growth Outlook Quite Promising
Image Source: Cisco Systems Inc – Fourth Quarter of Fiscal 2021 IR Presentation. On August 18, Cisco Systems reported fourth quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended July 31, 2021) that beat consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Cisco Systems also offered guidance for both the first quarter of fiscal 2022 along with full-year guidance for fiscal 2022, breaking with tradition (usually the company does not offer full fiscal year forecasts). Cisco Systems is included as an idea in both the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. We continue to be huge fans of Cisco Systems, and shares of CSCO initially moved significantly higher during the morning trading hours on August 19.

Aug 15, 2021

Dividend Growth Idea Realty Income Is on the Rebound
Image Source: Realty Income Corporation – August 2021 IR Presentation. Realty Income, “The Monthly Dividend Company,” has paid out a dividend over the past 610+ consecutive months and shares of O yield a nice ~4.0% as of this writing. We are big fans of its pending merger with VEREIT and its international expansion plans as these endeavors will significantly improve both Realty Income’s growth runway and the resilience of its business model going forward. We continue to like Realty Income as an idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and appreciate the REIT’s latest guidance boost. On a final note, we are keeping an eye on its pending merger with VEREIT.

Aug 12, 2021

Dividend Growth Idea Qualcomm Enters Bidding War to Bolster Automotive Growth Runway
Image Source: Qualcomm Inc – March 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders Presentation. One of our favorite semiconductor plays is Qualcomm. For those just getting familiar with the name, the company is about much more than just supplying components used in smartphones. While the rollout of 5G-capable smartphones will provide Qualcomm’s medium-term financial performance a large boost due to its Snapdragon mobile platform offerings, another key aspect of Qualcomm’s promising growth story is its exposure to the automotive industry.

Aug 9, 2021

High Yielding Idea CyrusOne Beats Estimates and Raises Guidance
Image Source: CyrusOne Inc – Second Quarter of 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. The data center and colocation service provider CyrusOne is a real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) that is included as an idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio. CyrusOne reported second quarter 2021 earnings July 28 that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates, and CyrusOne also increased its full-year guidance in conjunction with its latest earnings update. We liked what we saw in CyrusOne’s latest earnings report.

Aug 7, 2021

Two High-Quality Self-Storage REITs Beat Estimates and Raise Guidance
Image Shown: Shares of CubeSmart (depicted by the blue line) and Public Storage (depicted by the orange line), two self-storage REITs that are included as ideas in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, have surged higher year-to-date. We are big fans of the self-storage real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) industry, particularly in the US. These REITs offer their customers an economical way to maximize their living space at a time when domestic housing prices are surging from a baseline that is already quite high. Additionally, self-storage REITs are well-positioned to push through continuous rent increases given that the monthly rental expense for a self-storage unit for an ordinary US household likely represents just a sliver of their monthly budget, as compared to a monthly rental expense for a primary home or the monthly food budget, etc. Our favorite two names in the space are CubeSmart (CUBE) and Public Storage (PSA).

Aug 6, 2021

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week August 6
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.

Jul 30, 2021

Amazon Leads Market Lower, Free Cash Flow Disappoints
Image: Amazon's free cash flow performance was hugely disappointing during its second quarter of 2021. We were disappointed in Amazon’s mixed second-quarter report released after the bell July 29. The e-commerce and web services giant missed revenue expectations, while the company’s bottom-line earnings-per-share number of $15.12 came in better than the consensus figure. We find it highly ironical that Amazon's shares are selling off on a hugely profitable quarter when years ago the Street was complaining about it bleeding red ink. Shares of Amazon are trading down to about our fair value estimate of ~$3,343 at the time of this writing; the sell-off may be deserved.

Jul 29, 2021

Facebook, PayPal, Apple Earnings Reports and More!
Image shown: Qualcomm’s chart is looking mighty attractive. Thus far, second-quarter earnings season has been solid. Investors may be looking to take some profits, but we believe they’ll likely be buying back their favorite ideas toward the back half of the year. The market continues to be a bit cautious on tech in light of growing regulatory concerns in China, and inflationary pressures may temporarily hurt some within the consumer staples arena, but we’re not reading too much into either of these concerns. We maintain our very bullish take on the markets, and we believe that the newsletter portfolios are very well positioned for the ongoing bull market.

Jul 29, 2021

Microsoft’s Dividend Is Rock Solid But Why?
Image Shown: Valuentum’s Dividend Report on Microsoft. The Dividend Cushion Ratio Deconstruction reveals the numerator and denominator of the Dividend Cushion ratio for Microsoft. At the core, the larger the numerator, or the healthier a company's balance sheet and future free cash flow generation, relative to the denominator, or a company's cash dividend obligations, the more durable the dividend. In the context of the Dividend Cushion ratio, Microsoft's numerator is larger than its denominator suggesting strong dividend coverage in the future. The Dividend Cushion Ratio Deconstruction image puts sources of free cash in the context of financial obligations next to expected cash dividend payments over the next 5 years on a side-by-side comparison. Because the Dividend Cushion ratio and many of its components are forward-looking, our dividend evaluation may change upon subsequent updates as future forecasts are altered to reflect new information. We estimate the efficacy of the Dividend Cushion ratio in warning against dividend cuts at about 90%. We measure this efficacy by looking at the Dividend Cushion ratios of companies that have cut their payouts in our coverage. If the company had a Dividend Cushion ratio below 1, we’d view the Dividend Cushion ratio as doing its job. Not all companies with high Dividend Cushion ratios are insulated from dividend cuts, and not all companies with low Dividend Cushion ratios will cut their dividend, but the Dividend Cushion ratio is yet another Valuentum-driven tool for your investor tool kit.

Jul 28, 2021

The Valuentum Buying Index’s Flow Chart
Image: The Valuentum Buying Index flow chart. Each stock in our general operating coverage receives a systematically-applied rating. The Valuentum Buying Index is a powerful tool to use in conjunction with a variety of other investment considerations from the Economic Castle, the Dividend Cushion ratio, the fair value estimate and range to forward-looking relative valuation assessments, the dividend yield, dividend growth prospects and beyond. We hope you continue to enjoy your membership, and please let us know if you have any questions.