Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Sep 24, 2019

The Orthodontics Industry Is Getting Disrupted
Image Source: SmileDirectClub Inc - S-1 SEC Filing. SmileDirectClub, the teledentistry startup that makes 3D-printed clear aligners which are a cheaper alternative to braces (albeit with drawbacks when compared to the traditional braces route), went public this September at $23/share. While SmileDirectClub’s growth trajectory is quite intriguing, we prefer to wait until we get a better idea of the regulatory landscape the start-up faces and what its financial performance will look like now that it’s a public entity in the limelight. For Align, we are staying firmly away from the company as competitive pressures will continue to mount going forward. Neither company pays out a common dividend at this time.

Sep 19, 2019

FedEx Bemoans Trade Wars and Issues Weak Guidance, Shares Get Crushed
Image Source: FedEx Corp -- IR Presentation. Global logistics and shipping giant FedEx Corp reported first-quarter earnings for its fiscal 2020 (ended August 31) on September 17 that underwhelmed, sending shares sharply lower (down almost 13%) on September 18. As a capital intensive business operating in a cyclical industry, FedEx is stuck in a bind. Either pursue its drive for greater efficiency, greater scale, and (in theory) greater profits in the future while acknowledging that significant headwinds in the short- to medium-term will pressure free cash flows at a time of significant capital investment, or attempt to scale back which hollows out the core of management’s capital allocation strategy. Please note FedEx’s future aircraft purchase commitments make cutting capital expenditures by a meaningful amount a significantly harder task, reducing its financial flexibility. Management has opted to push forward into the fray. We are remaining firmly away from FedEx at this time.

Sep 6, 2019

Shares of DGN Holding Digital Realty Climbing Upwards
Image Source: Digital Realty Trust -- IR Presentation. Digital Realty is trading right above the top end of our fair value estimate range as of this writing, but we are keeping this holding in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio given its strong technical performance. We think excitement over the prospect of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates will continue to drive shares of higher yielding names higher, which includes high-quality data center REITs like Digital Realty.

Aug 29, 2019

Where Are the Safe Havens?
"We believe that staying diversified as in holding a broad swath of ideas as in either the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio or Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as the equity portion of one’s allocation makes a lot of sense in any environment...High yield dividend investing may become more and more popular in coming years as rates across the globe approach 0%, and the amount of negative-yielding debt proliferates." -- Brian Nelson, CFA

Aug 22, 2019

What’s on the Valuentum Team’s Mind?
Let’s get the Valuentum team’s thoughts on recent developments.

Aug 18, 2019

Our Reports on Stocks in the Broad Line Semiconductor Industry
Image Source: Laineema. We've optimized our technology coverage.

Aug 16, 2019

Ebix Might Be a Value Trap
Image Source: Ebix Inc -- IR Presentation. We think Ebix, even after its fall, has the makings of a value trap, and we caution our readers that there may be better opportunities out there. Why catch a falling knife with a low dividend yield?

Aug 15, 2019

Our Reports on Stocks in the Software Industry
We've optimized our technology coverage.

Aug 12, 2019

DXC Technology’s Guidance Cut Highlights the Value of VBI
Combining technical/momentum indicators with undervalued stocks can help you avoid value traps, and that's exactly what the Valuentum Buying Index did with DXC Technology recently. The VBI helped us avoid a catastrophe.

Jul 30, 2019

Don't Follow the Social Media Likes: The Divine “Comment(y)”
Image Source: Pilottage. “Personally, it was a miserable experience for me to see things that others couldn’t.” – Nelson on Valuentum’s call preceding Kinder Morgan’s dividend cut.