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Valuentum Commentary
Nov 26, 2018
In The News: Record-Low Smoking Rates, China Steel Demand Concerns, and a New Look GM
US smoking rates are at all-time lows, and the FDA is pushing to restrict sales of menthol products and flavored e-cigarettes. Meanwhile General Motors has announced an accelerated restructuring plan, and concerns have cropped up regarding steel demand in China. Oct 31, 2018
General Motors Overcomes Challenges in Strong Third Quarter; Ford Backs Off 2020 Targets
Image Source: GM third-quarter earnings presentation. Despite challenges in its cost structure and the Chinese market, simulated newsletter portfolio idea General Motors turned in a strong third quarter report, and shares reacted favorably after several months of selling pressure. Rival Ford also reported a solid third quarter report, but it no longer expects to hit its 2020 EBIT margin and ROIC targets. Oct 12, 2018
In the News: Expensive Energy, China’s Trade Surplus and Auto Market, and Big Tobacco Developments
The IEA is concerned about the impact of rising energy prices on global economic growth, and both it and OPEC have lowered near-term oil demand growth expectations. The impact of the US-China trade dispute continues to be sized up by a number of industries, including automakers, and big tobacco companies may be looking to the cannabis market for future growth as the space remains sensitive to potentially increasing regulations. Oct 1, 2018
SEC Says Tesla’s Musk Broke Securities Laws, Allows Him to Retain CEO Role
Image Source: SEC_News via Twitter. The SEC may have set a dangerous precedent in settling with Musk and allowing him to remain CEO. Musk and Tesla will also pay a monetary fine and add more independence to the boardroom as a result of the entrepreneur’s alleged market-manipulating behavior conducted through Twitter. We don’t think Tesla, a company with just $50 billion market capitalization and makes no money, is too big to fail. Musk’s settlement with the SEC is a sweetheart deal, and one that now has the stock soaring. Sep 28, 2018
In the News: Tesla’s Musk Charged with Securities Fraud; Facebook’s Security Issue
We continue to stay as far away from Tesla as possible. The company’s stock could still crater even more. It does not have a firm foundation at all. Facebook, despite being under continuous and tremendous scrutiny, is operating on a firm foundation, however. We continue to like shares of the social media giant, despite a recently-disclosed security problem. The more Facebook beefs up security and augments its platform, the bigger its competitive advantages become, as the entry costs for new entrants become even more insurmountable. Sep 26, 2018
BMW’s Profit Warning Hits Automakers; General Motors Still Attractive
Image Source: Ya, saya inBaliTimur.BMW became one of the first auto manufacturers to note a tangible negative impact of the US-China trade war, and its reduced expectations have impacted investor confidence in the near-term profit levels of other automakers, including simulated newsletter portfolio idea General Motors. Sep 7, 2018
Ford Facing Bumpy Road
Image source: MichaelThe second-largest US automaker is facing a number of challenges in its business, and Moody’s recently cut its credit rating to one notch above junk status. Let’s take a look at the factors at play behind the downgrade. Sep 5, 2018
There Is Milk At The Store
"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." -- Winston Churchill Aug 6, 2018
Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution
The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. Jul 25, 2018
General Motors Cuts Guidance on Higher Input Costs
Image Source: GM earnings release. Simulated newsletter portfolio idea General Motors cut its full-year guidance due to higher than expected commodity cost increases and devaluation of key currencies in South America. Peers Ford and Fiat Chrysler also lowered 2018 guidance measures following a tough second quarter for the group. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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