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Mar 26, 2024
McCormick Targeting Strong Adjusted Earnings Growth in Fiscal 2024
Image Source: McCormick. On March 26, spice maker McCormick & Company reported solid first quarter fiscal 2024 results for the period ended February 29. The company’s sales advanced 2% on a constant-currency basis, while adjusted operating income increased 4% on a constant-currency basis. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.63 compared to $0.59 in the same period last year, showcasing a 7% year-over-year increase. The results were good enough to send the stock meaningfully higher following the report. Mar 25, 2024
Fedex Bolstered By Cost Savings from Its DRIVE Program
Image: FedEx continues to extract cost savings from its DRIVE initiatives. FedEx is doing a lot of things right as it drives cost savings from its DRIVE program in the face of a challenging revenue environment. Shares of FedEx bounced nicely following the release of its fiscal third quarter report, and while they aren’t trading at bargain basement prices on the basis of our fair value estimate, we think shares could have upside to north of $300 based on the high end of our fair value estimate range. Shares yield ~1.8% at the time of this writing. Mar 24, 2024
Ameresco’s Shares Under Pressure Despite Record Backlog and Asset Pipeline Metrics
Image Source: Ameresco’s backlog of opportunities remains robust. We like the trajectory of Ameresco’s backlog, its order momentum as well as commentary that “proposal activity (remains) at an all-time high.” The company’s track record and technical know-how suggest to us that win rates will likely continue to be healthy. That said, we continue to monitor Ameresco’s debt position and adjusted operating cash flow trends closely, and while the firm remains an idea in the ESG Newsletter portfolio, we’re viewing it as a source of cash should another ESG idea present a better risk-reward opportunity. Mar 22, 2024
Nike’s Revenue to Face Pressure During First Half of Fiscal 2025
Image: Nike’s shares have faced considerable pressure from the beginning of 2022, and its outlook for the first half of fiscal 2025 wasn’t great. We’re huge fans of Nike’s consecutive dividend growth track record, but uncertainty regarding the future pace of sales growth in China, growing competition from the likes of Lululemon and Vuori, and macro-driven weakness expected in the first half of fiscal 2025 leave us on the sidelines for now. Shares yield ~1.5% at the time of this writing. Mar 22, 2024
Understanding Stock Splits
Let’s dig into how stock splits impact valuation. Mar 22, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of March 22
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Mar 21, 2024
Pfizer 6% Dividend Yield Speaks of Considerable Risk, Free Cash Flow Coming Up Short
Image: Pfizer’s shares have been under considerable pressure the past few years. Though we are positive on Pfizer’s turnaround, its Dividend Cushion ratio of 0.3 is not to be taken lightly (any ratio below 1 indicates heightened risk of a dividend cut). Income-oriented investors seeking a turnaround story may be interested in Pfizer, but we’re staying on the sidelines. We’ll continue to monitor developments at the pharma giant, especially as patents on several of its major drugs approach expiration. Shares yield ~6% at the time of this writing. Mar 21, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Mar 20, 2024
Phillips 66 Hovering Near All-Time Highs, Shares Yield ~2.7%
Image: Phillips 66 continues to be very shareholder friendly returning cash in the form of share repurchases and dividends. Though crack spreads can be quite volatile at times, there’s a lot to like about Phillips 66. The company is targeting 2025 mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA of $14 billion, up from $10 billion in 2022. Cost savings should remain ongoing, with its target calling for a total of $1.4 billion in savings, implying the company has $200 million more in savings to go. We like its investment-grade (A3/BBB+) balance sheet and target for 2025 mid-cycle adjusted operating cash flow of $10+ billion, up from $7 billion in 2022, with expectations that it will return more than half of operating cash flow to shareholders. Phillips 66 is a quality income idea for investors seeking exposure to the energy space. Mar 19, 2024
Hasbro Is Down But Not Out, Shares Yield ~5.3%
Image: Hasbro’s shares have faced considerable pressure during the past few years. Hasbro's recently reported fourth-quarter results weren't great and showed revenue declining 23% as it experienced material weakness in its Consumer Products segment (-25%) and Entertainment division (-49%) in the quarter. On an adjusted basis, backing out large impairment charges, the firm’s operating loss came in at $50 million in the quarter, while it recorded adjusted net earnings of $0.38 per share. Hasbro continues to navigate a difficult demand environment for physical toys, but the company’s free cash flow remains robust and was in excess of cash dividends paid during 2023. Shares yield ~5.3% at the time of this writing.
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