Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Jul 23, 2021

Shares of Best Idea Domino’s Pizza Jump Higher!
Image Shown: In the wake of Domino’s Pizza Inc’s stellar fiscal second quarter earnings report published on July 22, shares of DPZ surged higher. We include Domino’s Pizza as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and continue to be huge fans of the name. On July 22, Domino’s Pizza reported second quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended June 20, 2021) that smashed past consensus top- and bottom-line estimates with its US same-store sales growing by 3.5% and its international same-store sales increasing by 13.9%. The company noted that last fiscal quarter represented its 41st consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth in the US as its digital and delivery investments over the past decade have really paid off. Domino’s Pizza announced that it had authorized a new $1.0 billion share buyback program after the end of the fiscal second quarter after recently completing its previous $1.0 billion share repurchase program via an accelerated share repurchase (‘ASR’) agreement.

Jul 22, 2021

Best Idea Chipotle Rockets Higher!
Image Shown: We include Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc an as idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. On July 21, shares of CMG surged higher after the firm reported a stellar earnings report after the market close on July 20. In our April 2021 article covering the company, we highlighted how Chipotle’s management team sees room for the firm to more than double its restaurant unit count in the coming years. Chipotle’s growth runway is immense. The company’s second-quarter earnings report was stellar, and the market continues to warm up to Chipotle’s promising long-term growth story. We are big fans of Chipotle and expect that the firm’s free cash flows will continue to grow at a steady clip over the coming years.

Jun 25, 2021

Nike Beats Estimates Aided By Its Omni-Channel Selling Strength
Image Shown: Shares of Nike Inc popped higher after its latest earnings report. On June 24, Nike reported fourth quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended May 31, 2021) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Shares of NKE popped higher after the report. The top end of our fair value estimate range for Nike sits at $160 per share, meaningfully above where shares of NKE are trading at as of this writing--even after the latest bounce in its stock price.

Jun 24, 2021

Lululemon’s Growth Outlook Is Bright
Image Source: Lululemon Athletica Inc – First Quarter of Fiscal 2021 IR Earnings Infographic. Athleisure wear maker Lululemon Athletica recently reported first quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended May 2, 2021) that smashed past both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Its company-operated stores posted net revenue growth of 106% year-over-year as global economies began to recover from the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. The company’s direct-to-consumer (‘DTC’) net revenue grew 55% year-over-year (the e-commerce side of its business) last fiscal quarter, keeping in mind its DTC business more than doubled its net revenues in fiscal 2020. We were impressed with Lululemon’s latest results, and there could be room for shares of LULU to continue climbing higher. The top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $450 per share (well above where LULU is trading at as of this writing).

Jun 21, 2021

Top Ideas Doing Great
Image Source: Aguayo Samuel. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio continues to showcase the benefits of diversified stock selection in a portfolio setting over asset-allocation rebalancing (the 60/40 stock/bond portfolio is up just ~3% so far this year). Google and Facebook, the two top holdings in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, continue to roar higher!

May 28, 2021

Best Idea Dollar General Beats Estimates and Raises Guidance
Image Source: Dollar General Corporation – Fiscal 2020 Annual Report. On May 27, Dollar General Corp reported first-quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended April 30, 2021) that smashed past consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. The company raised its full year guidance for fiscal 2021 in conjunction with its latest earnings report. We continue to be big fans of Dollar General and include shares of DG as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Dollar General is a discount retailer that is focused on catering to small cities and towns in the US with populations of 20,000 or less. These are regions where e-commerce operations with a home delivery component have historically had a difficult time meeting customer demand in an economical manner. The discount retailer’s business model has so far proven to be resilient in the face of the proliferation of e-commerce, and we expect that will continue being the case in the coming years.

May 20, 2021

Dividend Growth Opportunity Home Depot Posts a Solid Earnings Report
Image Source: Home Depot Inc – First Quarter of Fiscal 2021 Earnings Press Release. New home construction activity along with do-it-yourself (‘DIY’) and do-it-for-me (‘DIFM’) activities remains robust in the US, which is great news for Home Depot. On May 18, Home Depot reported first quarter fiscal 2021 earnings (period ended May 2, 2021) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Home Depot’s GAAP revenues rose 33% year-over-year and its GAAP operating income grew 76% year-over-year as the home improvement and construction retailer reported strong demand from both its professional and retail customer base. We're huge fans of Home Depot and include the company as an idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Shares of HD yield ~2.1% as of this writing.

May 13, 2021

Markets Back on Track – Seeking Net-Cash-Rich, Free Cash Flow Generators with Pricing Power!
Image Shown: The pricing action of ideas in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio May 13. Image Source: Seeking Alpha.  We remain intensely focused on the cash-based sources of intrinsic value—net cash on the balance sheet and future expected free cash flow—when it comes to identifying price-to-fair-value-estimate mis-pricings as well as in assessing long-term dividend health. We think it may be tempting to rotate into some names where fair value estimate revisions have occurred, but the margin of safety around many energy/commodity producers and banking entities may be too large even for conservative investors. We expect most energy/commodity producers to continue to endure boom-and-bust cycles, and banking entities to do the same, as the latter act more like utilities this day and age. Once implicitly nationalized during the Great Financial Crisis, and used as an extension of government programs such as the Paycheck Protection Program during the COVID-19 crisis, outsize economic profit spreads may remain limited for banks/financials given the punitive regulatory environment. Facebook, of course, remains our top idea for long-term capital appreciation potential. Newmont Mining remains our favorite dividend growth-oriented “inflation hedge” followed by garbage hauler Republic Services and its CPI-indexed contracts. AT&T remains our favorite high yield dividend idea, boasting a free-cash-flow covered ~6.5% dividend yield, and we prefer only diversified exposure to the energy and banking sectors through the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF). We’ll be looking to deploy the ~10%-20% cash “positions” in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio in the coming months. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter remains “fully invested,” and Exclusive idea generation remains robust. If you haven’t already, please be sure to have a look at the video in this article to see how we assess the cash flow statement and balance sheet to uncover stocks with strong net cash positions and solid future free cash flows that handily cover expected cash dividend payments. We apply this laser-focus on financial statement analysis across our idea-generation suite of publishing products.

Apr 16, 2021

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week April 16
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.

Apr 2, 2021

Members Only: The April Edition of the Dividend Growth Newsletter Is Now Available