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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Oct 16, 2019
JPMorgan Continues to Go from Strength to Strength
Image Source: Gideon Benari. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon admitted plainly that the current benign credit losses are better than through-the-cycle averages during the conference call. He also acknowledged that revenues will come under pressure when the down cycle eventually hits. Until that time, JPMorgan is going from strength to strength, and this bank is clearly well positioned to take market share from weaker hands when the downcycle ultimately arrives. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $125 per share. Oct 15, 2019
Johnson & Johnson Raises Full-Year Guidance Yet Again
Mounting legal liabilities have been weighing negatively against Johnson & Johnson and its stock price over the past year as investors fret about the size of these potential settlements/judgements. We see the firm’s latest quarterly performance and guidance increase for 2019 as validation of the strength of Johnson & Johnson’s broad-based healthcare business model. Once the market gets a better idea of Johnson & Johnson’s total potential legal liabilities, shares could begin to converge towards their intrinsic value given the underlying strength in the firm’s businesses. Our fair value estimate for shares of JNJ stands at ~$150 per share. Oct 14, 2019
Economic Commentary: Robots, Value Trap, and Politics on the Markets
Valuentum sat down for the latest installment of its periodic economic commentary, and the team tackled a wide array of topics, from robots on Wall Street, to President of Investment Research Brian Nelson’s new book Value Trap, to political influence on the markets and boyond. Let’s set the stage with a prompt from a recent Bloomberg article, “The Master of Robots…Coming for Wall Street... Oct 12, 2019
ICYMI: Interview with Valuentum's President Brian M. Nelson, CFA
Catch up with Valuentum's President Brian M. Nelson, CFA in a recent interview with dividend growth investor Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. Oct 11, 2019
Apple Surges Higher!
We continue to like Apple and think shares will continue advancing toward the upper end of our fair value estimate range ($260+). Recent technical strength at Apple is possibly a sign that investors are beginning to price in the very positive tailwind the tech giant’s ‘Services’ segment represents in terms of both sales and margin upside (and the positive effect that has on Apple’s expected future free cash flows). Oct 11, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending October 11
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Oct 10, 2019
5 Questions Answered by the Valuentum Team
Image Source: Eric. Let’s cover some recently asked questions for the benefit of all. Oct 10, 2019
Covering Best Ideas Newsletter Holding Berkshire Hathaway
Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway Inc – 2018 Annual Report. As a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares have room to run in our view. Our fair value estimate for BRK.B stands at $229 per share, significantly higher than where shares are trading at as of this writing (~$204 per share). Please note Berkshire Hathaway does not pay out a common dividend at this time. Oct 9, 2019
Fair Value Estimates Matter – Case Study: Boeing
Image Source: Boeing’s share price converged to our estimate of intrinsic value in the summer of 2019. The plane maker continues to navigate tumultuous skies with its 737 MAX. In early 2019, we thought shares of Boeing were severely overpriced, and they aggressively converged to our fair value estimate by summer, only to bounce a bit since then. We’re still huge fans of the company but working through the 737 MAX issues will take some time to get “right.” We expect more headline risk as it relates to contingent liabilities associated with the disasters, but nothing so punitive to shake the plane maker to the core. Boeing is an investment-grade credit with a huge backlog, and while we expect shares to be range-bound in the near-term, investors get to collect a nice juicy dividend as they wait for Boeing to sort things out. Shares yield 2.2% at the time of this writing. Oct 9, 2019
Oracle Makes a Big Push Into the Cloud
Image Source: Oracle Corporation – September 2019 IR Presentation. On Monday October 7, Reuters reported that Oracle Corporation planned to hire an additional ~2,000 workers to support the tech giant’s cloud expansion strategy. These new jobs would be centered around San Francisco, Seattle, and India. We continue to like Oracle as a holding in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and are excited to see how its push into new international cloud computing markets will pan out. Our fair value estimate stands at $55 per share, roughly where ORCL is trading at as of this writing, with the top end of our fair value estimate range sitting at $66 per share (Oracle could test the upper bounds of our range should its cloud computing growth story pick up steam).
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