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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Sep 13, 2019
Kroger Posts Solid Quarter, Issues Weak Guidance
Image Shown: Kroger Company – IR Presentation. Kroger’s same-store sales growth was a welcome sight as it relates to the current strength of the US consumer, but we are staying away from the retailer for a reason. Its large net debt load puts the company’s payout at risk during adverse economic conditions, and we think management should be battering down the hatches considering how late we are in the business cycle. Management ending Kroger’s incremental operating profit forecast is a troubling sign.
Sep 11, 2019
Apple Makes Its Big Push Into Services
Apple announced that Apple TV+ would launch November 1, 2019, during its big update event on September 10. This marks the beginning of Apple’s transition from a hardware and software company to a hardware, software, and services giant.
Sep 4, 2019
The "Hierarchy" of Valuentum Idea Generation
Image: The Valuentum Buying Index rating scale.Let's talk about this hierarchy of idea generation in this note.
Sep 4, 2019
A Tale of Two Package Delivery Companies
Shares of both FedEx Corporation (indicated by the orange line above) and United Parcel Service Inc (indicated by the blue line above) have come under a tremendous amount of pressure over the past year as the industry navigates the fallout from the US-China trade war. Both companies are investing heavily to improve their offerings to stay ahead of the game as large tech companies increasingly encroach on the shipping industry’s traditional turf. The S&P 500 index is indicted by the purple line above.
Aug 26, 2019
The Valuentum Team Talks Powell Speech and Threat of Global Recession
Last week, China issued retaliatory tariffs on US goods, and Trump responded in kind, escalating trade tensions. Caught in the middle of this US-China trade war is the Fed, however. Let’s sit down with the Valuentum team and kick things off with our thoughts on Fed Chairman Powell’s speech, Challenges for Monetary Policy issued August 23 in Jackson Hole, WY.
Aug 21, 2019
Target Stuns, Shares Jump Higher
Image Shown: Shares of Target Corporation (TGT) leapt higher on August 21 on the back of its strong performance during the second quarter of FY2019. In particular, the retailer’s comparable same store sales growth was quite impressive given the hard comparison period, with e-commerce and same-day fulfillment leading the way.Strong performance out of Target and other major US retailers like Walmart indicate that while headwinds are forming, the US economy remains strong for now. We've raised our fair value estimate of Target.
Aug 20, 2019
Nvidia Beats Low Expectations and Shares are Rewarded Accordingly
Image Source: Nvidia Corporation - IR Presentation. Nvidia beat low expectations and its share price was rewarded accordingly, keeping in mind NVDA trades well off its 2018 highs. Our fair value estimate for NVDA stands at $184 per share, meaningfully above where shares are trading at, as of this writing. We are staying away from the name given risks associated with its purchase of Mellanox, weakness in data center demand in the face of trade war concerns and the synchronized slowdown in global economic activity, and in light of Nvidia’s low VBI rating. We think there are better investment opportunities out there, but we can respect that Nvidia is showing promising signs of improvement.
Aug 19, 2019
No Recession At Walmart; Estee Lauder Not Cheap
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Walmart’s results were quite reassuring regarding the health of the economy. There are also pockets of significant strength, with prestige beauty being catapulted by a “selfie generation.”
Aug 14, 2019
Alert: Markets Weakening, Raising Cash
Image Shown: In our December 26, 2018, note to members, we moved the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to "fully invested" from a cash "allocation" of 30% and 20%, respectively at the high end of the range. We are raising cash today. We are removing the Energy Select Sector SPDR and the Financial Select Sector SPDR from both the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to arrive at a ~10% cash position in both newsletter portfolios.
Aug 11, 2019
In the News: Amazon, GE, Kraft-Heinz, Disney, CVS Health, Gilead
We're reiterating the large range of fair value outcomes for Amazon. We're staying far away from General Electric and Kraft-Heinz. Netflix may have its back against the ropes with Disney Plus. CVS Health and Gilead were two setbacks in the newsletter portfolios in the past, but we kept losses to a minimum and new ideas more than offset the weakness. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio continues to do very well.


The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.