Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Image: Deere put up excellent fiscal fourth-quarter results for the period ending October 30, 2022. The company's pricing power is phenomenal. Image Source: Deere. 

Deere & Company put up excellent fiscal fourth quarter results November 23, and the highlight of the quarter was the firm’s tremendous pricing power. Its outlook for fiscal 2023 was solid, too, and we expect considerable operating income expansion on the back of strong double-digit top-line growth as supply chain issues fall to the wayside in the coming quarters as economic conditions normalize. Deere has a sizable net debt position and traditional free cash flow faced pressure on a year-over-year basis during fiscal 2022, but the company may be one of the best ways to combat inflation through equities. Management also expects operating cash flow to bounce back to the range of $9-$9.5 billion in fiscal 2023 from $4.7 billion in the recently completed fiscal 2022. For us, however, Deere isn’t a great fit for the simulated newsletter portfolios given its pricey stock and comparatively small dividend yield of ~1%, but its outlook bodes well for the agricultural supply chain for fiscal 2023. The high end of our fair value estimate for Deere still resides below its current price of $440 per share, meaning investors are paying up to own Deere at the moment.