ALERT: Raising Cash in the Newsletter Portfolios

January 27, 2021
ALERT: Raising Cash in the Newsletter Portfolios
We are raising the cash position in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to 10%-20%.
By Brian Nelson, CFA
Our research has been absolutely fantastic for a long time, but 2020 may have been our best year yet. You can read the 2020 recap here. With the S&P 500 trading within our fair value estimate range of 3,530-3,920 (and the markets rolling over while showing signs of abnormal behavior), we’re raising the cash position in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to 10%-20%.
For more conservative investors, the high end of this range may even be larger, especially considering the vast “gains” from the March 2020 bottom and the increased systemic risks arising from price-agnostic trading (read Value Trap). The individual holdings will be reduced in proportion to arrive at the new targeted cash weighting in the respective simulated newsletter portfolios.
The High Yield Dividend Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter are scheduled for release February 1. We’ll have more to say soon. Please be sure to read the following article that outlines a lot of the abnormal market behavior we are witnessing.
Thanks for your membership!
Kind regards,
Brian Nelson, CFA
President, Investment Research
Valuentum Securities, Inc.
brian@valuentum.com

We are putting short investors on high alert!
By Brian Nelson, CFA
In late 2018, Valuentum published Value Trap, a book that warned to all that would heed its warning that a collapse in the traditional quant value factor was coming and that excessive volatility in the markets caused by price-agnostic trading–or those that aren’t paying attention to fair value estimate calculations–would only build and build to eventually reach extreme and irrational levels. The book, while hugely successful winning award after award, was largely ignored by the media, despite our best efforts to get the word out. Now, the chickens are coming home to roost.

 

Contact Us
Valuentum Securities, Inc.
info@valuentum.com
valuentum.com/

———————————————————————————-
This email, its contents, and the reports or articles (links) or comments referenced or attached in this email are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of the reports, articles, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Valuentum Exclusive publication, or any other communication and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Assumptions, opinions, and estimates are based on our judgment as of the date of the reports or articles and are subject to change without notice. For more information about Valuentum and the products and services it offers, please contact us at info@valuentum.com. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Any performance, including that in the Valuentum Exclusive publication, is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Past simulated performance, back-tested or walk-forward or other, is not a guarantee of future results. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor, and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum is an investment research publishing company. No warranty or guarantee may be created or extended by sales or promotional materials, whether by email or in any other format. Further, this e-mail and attachments relating thereto, is intended for the abovementioned recipient. If you have received this e-mail in error, kindly notify the sender and delete it immediately as it contains information relating to the official business of Valuentum Securities Inc, which is confidential, legally privileged and proprietary to Valuentum Securities Inc. Affiliate Relationship. Customers of Valuentum acknowledge and agree that Valuentum’s affiliate, Pigeon Oak Capital Management, LLC (“Advisor”), may act as an investment advisor to other clients and receive fees for such services. The advice given and the actions taken with respect to such clients and Advisor’s own account may differ from opinions or the timing and nature of action taken with respect to Valuentum’s ratings or published research. Customers of Valuentum must further recognize that transactions in a specific security are not completed for Valuentum customers’ accounts because Valuentum does not have the authority to make trades or provide personalized advice for newsletter clients. The Advisor has discretion to make trades in its clients’ accounts without receiving prior authorization in each instance. Valuentum’s customers also acknowledge that in managing the Advisors’ clients’ assets, Advisor may purchase or sell securities in which Valuentum has an opposite opinion on, and Advisor, its members, officers, directors, or employees, directly or indirectly, have or may acquire a position or interest that contradicts that of Valuentum’s opinion. Due to the fiduciary relationship between Advisor and its clients, Valuentum’s customers will not receive alerts of trades done by Advisor, and trades done by Valuentum’s customers based on opinions of Valuentum might lag trades done by Advisor’s clients. Advisor or its affiliated persons may obtain material, nonpublic or other confidential information that, if disclosed, might affect an investor’s decision to buy, sell or hold a security. Under applicable law, Advisor or Valuentum and their affiliated persons cannot improperly disclose or use this information for their personal benefit or for the benefit of any person, including clients of Advisor or customers of Valuentum. If Advisor or any affiliated person obtains nonpublic or other confidential information about any issuer, Valuentum will have no obligation to disclose the information to customers of it, clients of Advisor or use it for their benefit.